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The Warrants Specialist
金务大新公司凭单登场受欢迎 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Editor   
Monday, 07 June 2010 20:35

金务大新凭单(GAMUDA-WD)在6月1日登场后大受投资者欢迎并一直上升到上周五的72.5仙。尽管有公司董事在凭单一上市后就卖出,GAMUDA-WD的走势并未受到影响。金务大母股的走势也不俗。它在上周五的闭市价是2.96令吉。GAMUDA-WD是通过金务大进行的附加凭单计划而诞生。金务大股东是可以根据每8股认购1单位新凭单,认购价是10仙。

 

金务大是一家主要从事建筑及基建业务的公司。在截至2010年1月31日的首半年,该公司取得了1亿3105万令吉的净盈利。这比起2009年同期的1亿409万令吉增长接近26%。它首半年的每股净盈利达到了6.5仙。金务大的每股净资产达1.59令吉。

 

GAMUDA-WD目前以约14%的溢价交易。这对一项5年凭单是相当合理的。通过GAMUDA-WD,投资者也可取得高达4倍的杠杆效率。

 

Last Updated on Sunday, 29 August 2010 23:41
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中国A股具吸引力可惜A50CHTK-C1行使价太高 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Editor   
Monday, 07 June 2010 20:34

在中国境内交易的A股在经过多个月的下跌后其估价已经达到一个比较吸引投资者进场的水平。从年初到2010年5月31日为止,新华富时A50中国指数在2010年的表现是下跌了约25%。在香港股票交易所上市的安硕A50中国股票型基金(2823.HK)是一项追踪上述指数的基金。由于境外投资者的中国A股从低点反弹的期望很高,安硕A50中国已经较新华富时A50中国指数有约10%溢价,是属于历史高点。

安硕A50中国的投资组合以金融业为主,占了该基金的61%。最大的成分股包括中国平安保险,招商银行,兴业银行,交通银行和浦发银行。在香港交易的中国H股和A股的折价已经逐渐缩小。许多银行和保险公司的H股其实相对起来和A股是以溢价交易。那以金融业为主的安硕A50中国其实估价比相关H股还低。这导致该基金目前以溢价交易。尽管如此,机构投资者的套利活动预料会避免溢价继续膨胀。

Last Updated on Sunday, 29 August 2010 23:41
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Arbitrage Opportunities for Expiring Warrants PDF Print E-mail
Written by Editor   
Monday, 31 May 2010 17:25

A number of expiring structured warrants listed on Bursa Malaysia are trading at a discount at the moment.  As some of these securities are listed in Hong Kong, there are many options for investors to sell short or implement strategies that would effectively generate a risk free return within the next month or so.

 

Amongst the expiring warrants that are trading at discounts on 31st May 2010 are CHMOBIL-CD, HKEX-CB and PETROCH-CA.

 

We use PETROCH-CA as an example on how we can achieve risk free profit over the next few weeks.

 

The price of PETROCH-CA on 31st May is RM0.065.  The call warrant has an exercise ratio of 8 and exercise price of HKD7.00.  The exchange rate of HKD/RM is RM0.4185.  PETROCH-CA will expire on 18th June 2010.  The underlying share Petro China closed at HKD8.53.

 

An investor buying into PETROCH-CA at RM0.065 is effectively paying HKD8.24 for one share of PetroChina.  This represents a discount of 3.5% of the closing price of HKD8.53.

 

To achieve arbitrage profit, an investor needs to sell PetroChina share short.  This can be achieved via a number of options. 

 

Last Updated on Sunday, 29 August 2010 23:42
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China A-Shares Attractive after Steep Fall but A50CHTK-C1 out of time PDF Print E-mail
Written by Editor   
Friday, 04 June 2010 11:03

China A-shares traded on mainland China exchanges become attractive valuation wise after steep decline in the past couple of months.  Up until 31st May 2010, the FTSE/Xinhua China A50 index, which tracks large free-float China shares listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, is down about 25% for the year.  The iShares FTSE/Xinhua A50 China Tracker (SEHK: 2823) is an ETF listed in Hong Kong which track the performance of the index.  The ETF is currently trading at premium to NAV (Net Asset Value) of close to 10%.  This is the highest level of premium according to the NAV premium/discount table provided by the fund.

 

The constituents of FTSE/Xinhua China A50 index comprise mainly finance stocks, accounting for about 61% of the fund.  Its biggest component stocks include the likes of Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank, Bank of Communications etc.  The discount between H-shares traded in Hong Kong and its correspondent A-shares traded in mainland China has narrowed substantially.  Most banks and insurance companies H-shares are actually trading at a premium to their A-shares.  This possibly leads to the basket of stocks (A-shares) in A50 ETF trading at a discount to their H-shares in Hong Kong although not all shares in FTSE/Xinhua China A50 have H-shares listed in Hong Kong.  It is therefore not surprising to see A50 ETF trading at a premium as foreign investors see value in the fund.  Nevertheless, arbitrage activities should limit the premium of the ETF as a 10% premium is too attractive for the qualified institutions which can create more units of the fund.

Last Updated on Sunday, 29 August 2010 23:41
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港交所-CB : 折价参与港交所反弹趋势 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Editor   
Saturday, 29 May 2010 17:16

香港股市上周从去年高峰下跌接近两成后反弹。如果反弹力量持续,当地的个别股票短期的上涨潜能是很好的。大马投资者可以在大马股市选择通过港股认购凭单来参与这个预期的上涨趋势。可是前几个月发行的港股凭单的行使价都设在和当时母股价位接近的水平。在经过连月的下跌以后,这些凭单的行使价已经比母股高出不少,使得这些凭单成为极度价外凭单。虽然这些价外凭单在股市持续上涨后还是有赚钱的机会,

 

居于我国凭单市场的买卖盘不多而且造市商的积极性还有待改善,选择欧式的价外凭单是有相当大的风险的。若要避免母股上涨凭单不涨的局面,投资者唯有选择溢价不高而且最好是美式凭单。在2008年发行的港交所-CB虽然期限即将来临,它却以折价交易。这项凭单将在6月18日到期并且在6月15日为最后交易日。

 

Last Updated on Sunday, 29 August 2010 23:43
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