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Written by Editor
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Saturday, 06 March 2010 11:20 |
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The Warrants Specialist Alan Voon is scheduled to speak at the following events in March 2010
ATIC Kuala Lumpur on 20 March 2010 at Kuala Lumpur Convention Centre, Kuala Lumpur City Centre.
05:30pm - 06:00pm How to Identify Potential Warrant Winners Bursa Room
大馬港股直通車 : 第二季股市展望 27 March 2010 中国报礼堂
10:00 am - 12:00pm 投资港股入门
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Last Updated on Sunday, 07 March 2010 13:34 |
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HEVEA-WB若开价不太高应该还有很好的上涨空间 |
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Written by Editor
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Saturday, 06 March 2010 11:07 |
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亿维雅刨花板有限公司(HEVEA)的新凭单(HEVEA-WB)在3月8日开始在大马股票交易所上市。这项通过附加股方式提供给HEVEA股东以及HEVEA-WA(旧凭单)持有人以1仙认购的新凭单相信会受到投资者的支持。在上个月短暂时候在大马股市交易的HEVEA凭单认购权(HEVEA-WR)是以20仙闭市。若加上1仙的认购价,HEVEA-WB的最后”交易价”是21仙。不过当时HEVEA母股的价钱是59仙而该股在上周五的闭市价是67仙。
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Last Updated on Saturday, 06 March 2010 11:14 |
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Punting Expiring Company Warrants – Speculating why AFFIC-WC surged 50% while Underlying only rise slightly |
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Written by Editor
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Thursday, 04 March 2010 12:29 |
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The company warrant of Affin Holdings (AFFIN-WC) staged an over 50% rally yesterday with the mother share only up 4 sen or 1.5%.
AFFIN-WC is one of the company warrants expiring this year which is out-of-money. Nevertheless, the exercise price of this warrant is only about 11% more than the current share price. There is much more liquidity at AFFIN-WC than Affin mother shares. Given the speculation on Affin Holdings being one of the merger candidates in the consolidation of Malaysia’s banking landscape. It is not unreasonable to assume a potential acquirer or a “vulture” fund can be collecting the warrant. The “acquirer” or “vulture” fund should be able to collect much more warrants and exercise it into shares later on than buying mother shares directly from the market. Even though they may be paying some premium, the possibility of being able to accumulate a much larger stake than collecting the underlying share alone can make the exercise feasible.
Nevertheless, the theory of a party accumulating out-of-money warrants at very cheap absolute price and converting it into ordinary shares to build a meaningful stake in the company may not be applicable in the case of AFFIN-WC as the total number of AFFIC-WC outstanding is only 153.77 million vs. Affin mother share total number of shares of some 1.5 billion. Full exercise of all warrants only represents slightly over 9% of enlarged share capital.
However, if the total warrants outstanding is about 50% of number of shares outstanding, the story may be different. There may be some warrants in the list of expiring warrants below that may fit into the above description. Assuming the underlying company is in good financial health and may be under appreciated by the investment community, a “vulture” fund can come in via buying and exercising the warrants and “threaten” the existing major shareholders if they are not careful.
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Last Updated on Thursday, 04 March 2010 12:34 |
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Written by Editor
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Saturday, 06 March 2010 10:57 |
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投资凭单获利最高的时候是当母股价从低位上升超越凭单行使价的时候。因为那时价位低的价外凭单(母股市价低于行使价)将因母股上升而变得价内(母股市价高于行使价)。一般来说,价外凭单的杠杆比率(母股价/凭单价)相对来说是比较高。而那些剩下几个月就到期而且又是价外的公司凭单的杠杆比率更会是超高。
如果投资者愿意投机高风险凭单来获得丰厚利润的话,买入即将到期的价外公司凭单或许是一项可行的计划。可是也不可乱乱去买一些即将到期的公司凭单。因为如果母股在剩余的期限未能上升超越行使价,投资者将因凭单到期而投资数额化为乌有。
那么用什么方法来挑选这些末期轮呢?
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Punting on Company Warrants Expiring This Year |
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Written by Editor
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Tuesday, 02 March 2010 16:47 |
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Punting warrants can bring investor big gain when the gearing is high. And the gearing of warrants is highest when the warrants are expiring soon and are trading out-of-money.
A good way to derive big gains from company warrants is to buy those warrants within striking distance of being in-the-money with expiry a few months down the road. These types of warrants typically trade at very high gearing so that a significant move in the underlying share price can bring about gains in excess of 100% in warrants price.
A case in point is the warrants of Golden Frontier Berhad (GFB-WB). At the beginning of the year, the underlying share was hovering just above RM1.00 and the exercise price of the warrant is RM1.44. As the mother share was not very actively traded and its volatility was very low, there was not much interest in the warrants.
Nevertheless, the share price of Golden Frontier staged a significant rally in the last few months, chalking gains of over 50% as the company reported a substantial rise in profit. This is a 10-year high for the stock and now some chartists are even targeting much higher price to come. The price of GFB-WB rose from below 10 sen to about 30 sen at the time of writing during the period when the mother share made a big move. Now the warrant is in-the-money and any further rise in the underlying share will be tracked quite closely by the warrant.
Are there any more of such gems available?
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Last Updated on Tuesday, 02 March 2010 17:09 |
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